Winsteps Winsteps Table 45 Plot: Cumulative person measures after each cooking task
|BEST 60 + | | 1 Emelia Jackson | 58 + |S 17 Amina Elshafei 2 Laura Sharrad 6 Poh Ling Yeow | 12 Jess Liemantara | 56 + 3 Reynold Poernomo 4 Callum Hann 8 Brendan Pang | 5 Reece Hignell | | 54 + 15 Hayden Quinn 7 Tessa Boersma 9 Khanh Ong | 10 Sarah Tiong 13 Tracy Collins | 11 Simon Toohey | 52 +M | | | 14 Sarah Clare 50 + | 20 Dani Venn (IP) | | 16 Ben Ungermann 48 + | 18 Chris Badenoch 22 Ben Milbourne |S | 46 + 24 Lynton Tapp | 19 Rose Adam | | 44 + 21 Harry Foster | | | 42 +T | | | 40 + | | | 23 Courtney Roulston 38 + |WORST |
The cooks' abilities are shown in the Wright Person-Item map: Winsteps Table 16.3.
COOK July 20 STATISTICS: MEASURE ORDER ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |ENTRY TOTAL TOTAL MODEL| INFIT | OUTFIT |EXACT MATCH| | |NUMBER SCORE COUNT MEASURE S.E. |MNSQ ZSTD|MNSQ ZSTD| OBS% EXP%| COOK July 20 | |------------------------------------+----------+----------+-----------+---------------------| | 1 714 351 59.0 .5|1.25 2.85|1.13 2.34| 31.6 33.4| 1 Emelia Jackson |<- best | 2 950 431 57.6 .4| .67 -5.46| .69 -7.84| 40.8 32.6| 2 Laura Sharrad |<- most consistent | 6 799 335 57.6 .4| .86 -1.90|1.02 .46| 23.9 29.9| 6 Poh Ling Yeow | | 17 116 49 57.5 1.1|1.69 2.47|1.34 1.70| 36.7 42.9| 17 Amina Elshafei | | 12 274 107 57.2 .7|1.57 3.58|1.25 2.25| 40.2 35.4| 12 Jess Liemantara | | 3 868 345 56.1 .4| .69 -5.08| .85 -3.20| 23.2 29.7| 3 Reynold Poernomo | | 4 902 348 56.0 .4| .96 -.50| .84 -3.57| 36.8 32.0| 4 Callum Hann | | 8 601 211 55.8 .5|1.26 2.81|1.23 3.08| 22.3 26.8| 8 Brendan Pang | | 5 801 296 55.6 .4|1.11 1.37|1.02 .46| 35.5 29.5| 5 Reece Hignell | | 9 607 181 54.2 .5|1.08 .75|1.19 2.23| 20.4 26.4| 9 Khanh Ong | | 7 741 242 54.2 .5|1.03 .39|1.05 .69| 26.9 29.2| 7 Tessa Boersma | | 15 162 58 53.9 1.1|1.41 1.53|1.09 .55| 22.4 39.7| 15 Hayden Quinn | | 13 240 80 53.7 .9|1.20 1.01|1.00 .02| 30.0 39.1| 13 Tracy Collins | | 10 494 152 53.6 .6| .97 -.19| .93 -.74| 31.6 31.5| 10 Sarah Tiong | | 11 483 145 52.9 .6|1.26 1.74|1.14 1.36| 37.2 33.2| 11 Simon Toohey | | 14 198 63 50.4 1.2| .87 -.51| .71 -1.67| 65.1 39.9| 14 Sarah Clare | | 20 59 19 49.4 2.5|2.76 3.03|1.83 1.65| 42.1 39.8| 20 Dani Venn (IP) | | 16 203 63 48.6 1.4|1.12 .53|1.28 1.28| 42.9 45.1| 16 Ben Ungermann | | 22 36 10 47.6 3.6|2.16 1.59|1.39 .71| 60.0 45.1| 22 Ben Milbourne | | 18 129 34 47.3 2.0|1.09 .38| .85 -.29| 47.1 44.9| 18 Chris Badenoch | | 24 19 6 46.0 5.1|3.02 1.97|2.30 1.24| 33.3 43.7| 24 Lynton Tapp |<- most inconsistent | 19 96 33 45.7 2.4| .89 -.25| .73 -.94| 60.6 46.8| 19 Rose Adam | | 21 65 19 44.1 2.8|1.12 .44|1.19 .56| 10.5 42.1| 21 Harry Foster | | 23 37 10 38.6 4.7| .97 .15|1.14 .43| 80.0 70.1| 23 Courtney Roulston|<- worst ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
Masterchef Australia is a TV series on Australian TV, Network 10, tenplay.com.au. Series 12 started on April 13, 2020 and ended on July 20, 2020. An analysis of Masterchef Australia 2019 is here.
Each cook is a row in the data matrix. Each episode, or part of an episode, is a column (item, task) in the data matrix. 24 contestants, returning from previous Masterchef Seasons, competed.
In most episodes, the winner or winning group of cooks are scored "1", the losers are scored "3", and the middle group are scored "2". The judges often make finer gradations in their comments on the dishes, and these are shown by additional scored levels. The first episode was won by Dani Venn who was awarded the only Immunity Pin of the competition. Since the scoring varies across episodes, the Partial Credit Model, ISGROUPS=0, is used. For details of each episode, please see Wikipedia: MasterChef Australia (series 12).
The columns (items) are labeled with codes such as "2-IT". "2" indicates the week number. "IT" indicates the type of competition. They are Pre = Prior, AU=Auditions, IT=Invention Test (Free Cook), MB=Mystery Box, PT=Pressure Test, elimination based on individual performance, IT=Invention Test, cooking for oneself, IQ=Immunity Qualifier, IC=Immunity Challenge, TC=Team Challenge, TE=Elimination based on Team performance, 2C=Second Chance, Now = best estimate of current ability, Wins=Probability of winning. "i" indicates the cook used an Immunity pin to bypass a Pressure Test. "-" indicates the cook is given a Bye for this event.
At the end of "Pressure Test" episodes, the losing cook is eliminated from the competition. In "Team Challenge" episodes, the contestants are divided into two or more teams with winning and losing teams. In team events (TC, 5-IT), the event may be weighted inversely by the number of members of each team. In "Immunity" episodes, the winning cook gets immunity from the next Pressure Test.
The cooks are listed by name. The number immediately preceding each name is their order of elimination, counting backwards. The first cook eliminated is numbered 24. The overall winner will be numbered 1. In addition to a row for each of the 24 contestants and one for the Guest Chefs, there are two additional rows. These are used for hypothetical "Minimum" (who is worse than anyone) and "Maximum" (who is better than anyone) chefs. These are anchored at 0 and 100 to establish a constant frame-of-reference across the Masterchef episodes.
There is a column for each cooking task. These are upweighted by cooking week. There are also four additional columns.
Season: this is the Season in which the contestant first participated. Since the earlier the Season, the more opportunities to increase
skill.
Place: this is the finishing place of the contestant in the prior Season.
Start: this is used to start all contestants at the same level.
Now: this is used to obtain the current measure of all active contestants.
After each episode, the cooks' performances are scored based on the judges opinions and entered into an Excel spreadsheet, available here. This is then converted into the Winsteps control and data file shown below and here by means of the Winsteps Excel/RSSST menu. USCALE=-10 and other control instructions have been added to reverse and rescale the measures, because lower score indicates higher ability.
&INST Title= "Masterchef-2020.xls" ; Excel file created or last modified: 7/20/2020 9:24:04 PM ; Sheet1 ; Excel Cases processed = 27 ; Excel Variables processed = 94 ITEM1 = 1 ; Starting column of item responses NI = 87 ; Number of items NAME1 = 176 ; Starting column for person label in data record NAMLEN = 21 ; Length of person label XWIDE = 2 ; Matches the widest data value observed ; extra control variables ISGROUPS = 0 ; Partial Credit model: in case items have different rating scales STKEEP = Yes ; keep unobserved categories IWEIGHT = 1W2 ; weighted by week USCALE = -10 ; low score = high ability, rescaled for 0-100 = 10 logits UDECIMALS = 1 PAFILE=* ; 25 75 ; ANCHOR GUEST CHEF AT 75 26 0 ; anchor minimum performance at 100 27 100 ; anchor maximum performance at 0 * ; IDELETE=2-48 ; everything before the second chance ; PDELETE = 27 ; DELETE maximum CONVERGE=B LCONV=.001 RCONV=.1 FREQ = ; HARD ; for the Wright Person-Item Map LESS = BEST MORE = WORST RARE = ; EASY TITLE = Masterchef 2020 July 20 PERSON = COOK Jul20 ITEM = TASK LINELENGTH = 120 TFILE=* mtop=60 mbottom=38 mtick=2 munits=0.5 ; PSELECT={A-Z} IDELETE=+999 ; SHOW NO ITEM PDELETE=25-27 MAXPAG=40 16.3 IDELETE= MAXPAG=0 17.1 PSELECT={A-Z} ; FOR THE TABLE 45 PLOT * CODES = " . 1 102 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 A " ; matches the data TOTALSCORE = Yes ; Include extreme responses in reported scores ; Person Label variables: columns in label: columns in line @Contestant = 1E20 ; $C176W20 &END ; Item labels follow: columns in label Start ; Item 1 : 1-2 1-IT ; Item 2 : 3-4 1-TC ; Item 3 : 5-6 1-TC ; Item 4 : 7-8 1-IT ; Item 5 : 9-10 1-PT ; Item 6 : 11-12 2-TC ; Item 7 : 13-14 2-PT1 ; Item 8 : 15-16 2-PT2 ; Item 9 : 17-18 2-MB ; Item 10 : 19-20 2-IC1 ; Item 11 : 21-22 2-IC2 ; Item 12 : 23-24 2-PT1 ; Item 13 : 25-26 3-TC1 ; Item 14 : 27-28 3-TC2 ; Item 15 : 29-30 3-TC3 ; Item 16 : 31-32 3-PT2 ; Item 17 : 33-34 3-MB ; Item 18 : 35-36 3-IC ; Item 19 : 37-38 3-PT1 ; Item 20 : 39-40 3-PT2 ; Item 21 : 41-42 4-TC ; Item 22 : 43-44 4-PT1 ; Item 23 : 45-46 4-PT2 ; Item 24 : 47-48 4-PT3 ; Item 25 : 49-50 4-MB ; Item 26 : 51-52 4-IC ; Item 27 : 53-54 4-PT1 ; Item 28 : 55-56 4-PT2 ; Item 29 : 57-58 5-TC ; Item 30 : 59-60 5-PT ; Item 31 : 61-62 5-MB ; Item 32 : 63-64 5-IC ; Item 33 : 65-66 5-PT1 ; Item 34 : 67-68 5-PT2 ; Item 35 : 69-70 6-TC ; Item 36 : 71-72 6-PT ; Item 37 : 73-74 6-MB ; Item 38 : 75-76 6-IC1 ; Item 39 : 77-78 6-IC2 ; Item 40 : 79-80 6-PT1 ; Item 41 : 81-82 6-PT2 ; Item 42 : 83-84 7-TC ; Item 43 : 85-86 7-PT ; Item 44 : 87-88 7-MB ; Item 45 : 89-90 7-IC ; Item 46 : 91-92 7-EC1 ; Item 47 : 93-94 7-EC2 ; Item 48 : 95-96 8-I11 ; Item 49 : 97-98 8-I12 ; Item 50 : 99-100 8-I2 ; Item 51 : 101-102 8-I3 ; Item 52 : 103-104 8-I4 ; Item 53 : 105-106 8-E1 ; Item 54 : 107-108 8-E2 ; Item 55 : 109-110 9-TC ; Item 56 : 111-112 9-PT ; Item 57 : 113-114 9-MB ; Item 58 : 115-116 9-I1 ; Item 59 : 117-118 9-I2 ; Item 60 : 119-120 9-I3 ; Item 61 : 121-122 9-E1 ; Item 62 : 123-124 9-E2 ; Item 63 : 125-126 10-MB ; Item 64 : 127-128 10-IC ; Item 65 : 129-130 10-E1 ; Item 66 : 131-132 10-E2 ; Item 67 : 133-134 11-M1 ; Item 68 : 135-136 11-M2 ; Item 69 : 137-138 11-IC ; Item 70 : 139-140 11-E1 ; Item 71 : 141-142 11-E2 ; Item 72 : 143-144 12-MB ; Item 73 : 145-146 12-I1 ; Item 74 : 147-148 12-I2 ; Item 75 : 149-150 12-I1 ; Item 76 : 151-152 12-I2 ; Item 77 : 153-154 13-MB ; Item 78 : 155-156 13-IC ; Item 79 : 157-158 13-PT ; Item 80 : 159-160 14-MB ; Item 81 : 161-162 14-PT1 ; Item 82 : 163-164 14-PT2 ; Item 83 : 165-166 14-SF ; Item 84 : 167-168 14-F1 ; Item 85 : 169-170 14-F2 ; Item 86 : 171-172 14-F3 ; Item 87 : 173-174 END NAMES 2 3 2 2 2 3 6 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 6 1 1 6 6 3 1 1 . . 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 1 5 2 2 3 2 1 5 1 2 . 1 1 . . 1 2 1 1 1 Emelia Jackson 2 3 2 1 3 3 1 3 2 5 3 1 1 2 2 2 2 5 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 1 8 4 1 3 7 4 2 3 1 2 2 3 3 2 5 1 2 1 1 . 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 Laura Sharrad 2 2 2 2 1 1 3 3 1 2 3 1 1 8 1 2 2 1 4 1 1 8 2 3 4 1 . 1 2 5 1 3 5 4 1 5 4 3 4 2 3 2 3 2 1 1 1 . 2 1 . 3 3 Reynold Poernomo 2 4 1 1 1 . 2 3 5 1 3 3 2 1 10 1 2 3 2 2 2 1 7 1 2 6 7 2 2 1 1 . 2 7 2 2 2 1 1 1 3 1 4 5 1 1 3 3 4 2 2 4 Callum Hann 2 8 2 2 3 6 1 4 6 2 2 2 3 1 10 1 1 1 3 1 1 4 2 5 2 3 6 1 4 4 4 1 1 1 2 1 . 2 1 . 4 2 2 6 3 1 3 4 5 Reece Hignell 2 7 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 1 2 2 2 4 1 6 1 2 4 1 1 . 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 4 5 2 1 5 1 4 3 3 3 2 4 1 1 1 2 4 1 1 3 3 4 2 6 Poh Ling Yeow 2 5 1 2 2 3 1 4 2 1 5 2 2 1 10 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 9 1 3 7 2 3 5 2 3 4 1 3 4 5 1 5 2 3 3 7 Tessa Boersma 2 6 2 1 3 3 2 2 4 3 1 1 6 1 1 5 2 1 2 1 5 1 1 2 3 5 9 1 3 1 5 2 6 1 1 3 3 4 8 Brendan Pang 2 8 1 2 2 3 4 1 1 4 5 1 5 3 1 1 10 1 1 5 1 2 2 7 7 1 1 3 5 2 2 1 9 4 1 6 4 3 9 Khanh Ong 2 6 1 3 2 1 1 2 1 . 4 1 1 4 1 1 9 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 4 7 1 2 7 3 4 6 3 5 4 10 Sarah Tiong 2 8 1 4 1 1 3 5 1 3 1 2 2 9 1 1 1 5 1 2 3 3 2 1 1 4 8 8 3 3 6 4 11 Simon Toohey 2 5 2 2 2 4 5 1 1 . 1 10 1 2 1 5 1 1 2 1 1 . 2 1 3 6 4 12 Jess Liemantara 2 8 2 2 2 4 6 5 1 1 3 2 2 3 2 3 4 1 1 7 3 4 13 Tracy Collins 2 8 1 1 2 2 2 4 4 4 2 . 7 1 2 3 4 2 3 2 5 14 Sarah Clare 2 7 1 3 3 1 3 6 4 2 4 3 1 1 4 1 . 4 2 2 4 15 Hayden Quinn 2 6 1 3 2 3 5 2 1 4 2 5 5 1 2 3 2 2 10 3 1 1 6 A 16 Ben Ungermann 2 4 1 4 2 1 2 4 2 1 5 2 2 2 1 1 . 2 5 17 Amina Elshafei 2 8 2 3 3 2 4 5 4 2 1 10 2 4 18 Chris Badenoch 2 6 1 4 4 2 3 7 3 2 2 3 2 3 19 Rose Adam 2 1 2 2 1 4 6 4 3 3 20 Dani Venn (IP) 2 8 2 2 1 3 5 3 5 3 21 Harry Foster 2 5 2 1 2 3 8 22 Ben Milbourne 2 6 2 3 3 6 3 23 Courtney Roulston 2 7 1 1 3 5 24 Lynton Tapp Guest Chef 1 Maximum at 100 3 Minimum at 0 |
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